Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000137 0.000153 0.000170 0.000190 0.000211 0.000235 0.000262
2025-08-24 0.000112 0.000133 0.000157 0.000186 0.000220 0.000260 0.000309
2025-08-31 0.000095 0.000119 0.000147 0.000184 0.000230 0.000286 0.000359
2025-09-07 0.000082 0.000108 0.000140 0.000184 0.000241 0.000313 0.000412
2025-09-14 0.000072 0.000098 0.000133 0.000182 0.000249 0.000336 0.000462
2025-09-21 0.000065 0.000093 0.000130 0.000184 0.000262 0.000367 0.000524
2025-09-28 0.000059 0.000087 0.000126 0.000185 0.000272 0.000396 0.000585
2025-10-05 0.000053 0.000081 0.000121 0.000184 0.000279 0.000419 0.000640
2025-10-12 0.000050 0.000078 0.000120 0.000188 0.000294 0.000454 0.000716
2025-10-19 0.000046 0.000074 0.000117 0.000188 0.000303 0.000481 0.000780
2025-10-26 0.000042 0.000070 0.000114 0.000188 0.000311 0.000507 0.000845
2025-11-02 0.000039 0.000066 0.000110 0.000186 0.000315 0.000527 0.000902
2025-11-09 0.000036 0.000063 0.000108 0.000187 0.000326 0.000559 0.000981
2025-11-16 0.000033 0.000059 0.000104 0.000185 0.000330 0.000580 0.001045
2025-11-23 0.000030 0.000056 0.000101 0.000184 0.000337 0.000606 0.001119
2025-11-30 0.000028 0.000053 0.000098 0.000184 0.000345 0.000635 0.001201
2025-12-07 0.000026 0.000051 0.000095 0.000182 0.000349 0.000658 0.001274
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000049 0.000094 0.000185 0.000362 0.000697 0.001381
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000047 0.000093 0.000186 0.000372 0.000731 0.001481
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000045 0.000090 0.000184 0.000377 0.000756 0.001565
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000044 0.000090 0.000189 0.000394 0.000805 0.001700
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000043 0.000089 0.000189 0.000402 0.000838 0.001806
2026-01-18 0.000019 0.000041 0.000087 0.000189 0.000410 0.000870 0.001912